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Delay Discounting Test

Some money now or $100 later? 30 choices, from a week to five years away, show what waiting is worth to you.

Type
Judgment
Takes
about 2 min
Result in
dollars

Delay Discounting

~2 min

  1. Some money now, or $100 later? Pick the one you'd really rather have.
  2. The amount now changes with your answers. The wait goes from a week to five years.
  3. 30 choices, imaginary money. No right answers, and no clock.

Tap an option, or press ← →.

Your result: $ —

How it's measured
  • Overconfidence

    Give ranges you're 90% sure of. How many hold?~3 min
  • How Random

    Press left or right at random. Can a computer predict you?~2 min
  • Higher or Lower

    Is the hidden number higher or lower? Keep your streak going.~2 min
  • Reversal Learning

    One card wins more often, until the two swap. Can you keep up?~2 min
  • Estimation

    Too many dots to count. How many were there?~1-2 min
  • Card Sorting

    Find the hidden sorting rule, and notice when it changes.~3 min

How does the Delay Discounting Test work?

Each question offers some money today or $100 later, and you pick the one you would really rather have. The money is imaginary and there are no right answers. There are 30 choices: 6 at each of five delays, 1 week, 1 month, 6 months, 1 year and 5 years, asked in that order.

At each delay the offer starts at $50 today. Take it, and the next offer is lower; wait, and it is higher, by $25, $12, $6, $3, $2 and $1, one step after each choice. Six choices bring the offer to within a dollar of the amount where today and later feel the same to you: your indifference point. The two options swap sides at random, so tapping one side out of habit doesn't pass for a preference.

How is the Delay Discounting Test scored?

Your result is your indifference point at one year: what $100 in a year is worth to you today. Beside it are three summaries of all five points. The discount rate k comes from fitting James Mazur's hyperbola (1987), value = amount ÷ (1 + k × days), to your points: the larger k, the faster waiting eats value. One over k is the wait at which a reward is worth half, shown as “worth half after”.

The area under the curve (Joel Myerson, Leonard Green and Missaka Warusawitharana, 2001) is the area under your five points with money and delay both scaled from 0 to 1: 1 means waiting cost you nothing, near 0 means you wanted almost everything now. It needs no model, which is why it is often reported alongside k. How the hyperbola plays out for a few values of k:

Discount rate k$100 in 1 week$100 in 1 month$100 in 1 year$100 in 5 yearsWorth half after
0.001$99$97$73$352.7 years
0.01$93$77$22$53 months
0.1$59$25$3$110 days

What is delay discounting?

It is the way a reward loses value the longer you have to wait for it. The loss is steep for the first delays and gentler after, which is the hyperbola's shape: a week can matter more than the difference between four and five years. The questions here follow the adjusting-amount procedure of Wenjie Du, Leonard Green and Joel Myerson (2002), who used it to compare how people from different countries discount.

Answers can also be inconsistent: a longer wait worth more than a shorter one, or no change at all. Matthew Johnson and Warren Bickel (2008) proposed two checks for that: no point more than 20% of the amount above the one before, and the last point at least 10% below the first. If yours fail one, the result says so and the curve is a rough guide.

Is a low discount rate in the Delay Discounting Test better?

Not in itself. Taking money now can be the sensible choice: when you need it, when you doubt the later payment will come, or when prices are rising. The test measures how you trade time for money in these questions, not whether that trade is right for your life, and imaginary money may not feel like your own.

What can affect your Delay Discounting result?

Your situation as much as your temperament: how much $100 means to you, whether you trust a promise to pay later, your mood today. The order is fixed, from the shortest wait to the longest, so each answer is made with the last in mind. To see how well you know what you don't know, try the Overconfidence Test; to see how random your own choices are, the How Random Are You? test.

Questions

Is there a right answer in the Delay Discounting Test?
No. Every choice is your own preference, and the result describes it; it doesn't grade it.
What is the discount rate k?
The number in the hyperbola value = amount ÷ (1 + k × days) that best fits your answers. A k of 0.01 means $100 in 100 days is worth half to you; the larger k, the faster a delay eats value.
What does 'worth half after' mean?
How long a wait would halve the value of a reward to you, on your fitted curve: one over k, in days. $100 after that long feels like $50 now.
Why did my result say the curve is a rough guide?
Because your answers failed one of Johnson and Bickel's (2008) checks: a longer wait came out worth more than a shorter one by over 20% of the amount, or the five-year answer wasn't at least 10% below the one-week answer.
Is the money in the Delay Discounting Test real?
No, it is imaginary. Answer as if it were real: what would you actually choose?